El Niño's Coming: What It Means for Your Dairy Shed, Your Gear and Your Cows
After a winter of frozen pipework and refrigeration call-outs, Terravest CEO Kip Bodle and COO Luke Walker explain why this El Niño summer calls for a different kind of preparation, before the first heatwave finds the weak points for you.
This winter, Terravest’s call-out list told its own story: frozen pipes, seized valves and frozen milk in the vat. Now, with forecasters pointing to a swing toward El Niño conditions this summer, that workload is about to flip. "The gear that just survived a hard winter is exactly the gear you want to get in front of before it has to survive a hard summer too," says Luke Walker, who leads Cryvex, Terravest’s refrigeration division.
What El Niño Means for New Zealand Dairy Farms This Summer
What El Niño actually means for New Zealand this summer comes down to a handful of specific risks flagged in current reporting on the outlook: stronger and more frequent west-to-southwest winds across the country; an increased risk of dryness and drought in northern and eastern regions; wetter-than-usual conditions in western and southern areas such as Southland and Fiordland; and an elevated fire weather risk in exposed regions as vegetation dries out under hot, windy spells.
"It’s not just ‘hot and dry everywhere’ - it’s hot and dry in some places, wet in others, and windy pretty much everywhere," says Kip Bodle, Terravest’s CEO. "Farmers need to think about what that actually means for their own patch, not just the national headline."
From Frozen Gear to Overheated Gear: The Refrigeration Risk
Going from frozen gear to overheated gear is a predictable swing, Luke says, but it still catches people out every year. "In winter, we’re pulling frozen valves and cracked pipework. In a hot, dry summer, it’s the opposite problem, compressors working harder for longer, condensers struggling to shed heat as the ambient temperature climbs, and milk cooling systems that are already running close to their limit on a normal day getting pushed past it.
"A system that’s a bit tired going into a 30-degree week is where you get your milk quality problems and your unplanned downtime" says Luke Walker, Terravest.”
Get Your Refrigeration Servicing Booked In Now
With El Niño bringing more of those hot, windy spells, there’s less margin for error than usual," Luke says. His advice is straightforward: get compressors and condensers serviced now, check refrigerant, clean condenser coils, and make sure you do a seasonal swap of rubber wear. "Don’t wait for the hottest day of the season to get a service," he says, "because there will most likely be a queue of breakdowns in front of you."
Plant Hygiene in the Heat: Why Your Winter Wash Routine Won't Cut It
Plant hygiene in the heat is its own challenge, Kip points out, heat doesn’t just stress machinery, it stresses the hygiene side of the operation too. "Bacteria don’t take a break in warm weather, they multiply faster," he says. "Wash routines, chemical concentrations and contact times that are dialled in for a cool, damp winter aren’t automatically right for a hot, dry one."
He says it’s worth actively revisiting plant hygiene protocols going into summer rather than assuming they still hold: wash water temperatures, detergent and sanitiser dosing, and how standing water or residue behaves differently once the shed itself is running hotter for longer each day.
Teat Care for a Hot, Dry, Windy Summer
On the animal side, teat condition swings the other way entirely, Kip says. "In winter, everything’s about mud, moisture and organic matter breaking disinfectant down before it can do its job. In a dry, windy, dusty summer, the challenge flips, teat skin can crack from dust and wind exposure rather than mud, and a spray that’s too harsh or too drying just adds to that."
"It’s the same lesson as always," he says. "Match the product and the routine to the conditions you’re actually in, not the conditions you were in six months ago."
The Bottom Line: Get Ahead of the Seasonal Swing
The bottom line, both Kip and Luke agree, is that an El Niño summer like the one being forecast isn’t a reason to panic, but it is a reason to check things now rather than in January. "Every year, the businesses that get ahead of the seasonal swing spend a lot less time on emergency call-outs than the ones who wait for it to become a problem," Luke says.
Kip agrees: "Winter told us where the cold-weather weak points were. Summer’s going to tell us where the hot-weather ones are, the only question is whether you find out now, or find out on the same week as everyone else."
Ready to get ahead of summer? Talk to the Cryvex team about refrigeration servicing, or the Deosan team about TeatX for the season ahead.